Innodata Inc. [INOD] · Equity Underwriting Memo

Catalyst Calendar

Innodata Inc [INOD] — Catalyst Calendar

As of 2026-07-29 · Catalyst Criteria is MEASURED and blocks nothing.

No date in this file is fabricated. Every entry is either (a) a date stated in a filing, or (b) explicitly labelled INFERRED with the historical analogue it is inferred from. Per the brief: a fabricated catalyst date is worse than an absent calendar.


Confirmed — stated in a filing

Date Event Source Status
2026-05-07 Q1 2026 results. Revenue $90.1m (+54%). FY2026 guide raised ~35%+ → ~40%+. New Big Tech engagements announced at ~$51m of 2026 revenue 8-K + EX-99.1, acc. 0001104659-26-057150 ✅ occurred — stock +86.0% next session
2026-06-04 Annual meeting. All 5 directors elected; BDO India Services Private Limited ratified as auditor for FY2026; Amended & Restated Equity Compensation Plan approved 8-K, acc. 0001104659-26-071384 ✅ occurred — all-time-high close $121.50 same day
2026-06-17 FY2026 revenue growth guidance reaffirmed, standalone 8-K, mid-quarter. Permanent CFO Jayant Chauhan announced 8-K, acc. 0001104659-26-075184 ✅ occurred
2026-07-06 Jayant Chauhan effective as EVP & CFO. Marissa Espineli moves to Chief Accounting Officer 8-K 2026-06-17 ✅ occurred
Through FY2026 Recognition of the residual ~$36m of the named ~$51m Big Tech programme (~$15.3m landed in Q1). Verifiable each quarter against the "another customer generated approximately X%" concentration disclosure 10-Q 2026-05-07; EX-99.1 2026-05-07 LIVE — the single most checkable catalyst
2029-04-04 Wells Fargo Revolving Credit Facility maturity ($50m max, borrowing base ~$30m at 2025-12-31, undrawn) 8-K 2026-03-24 Confirmed

Inferred — labelled, with the analogue

Window Event Basis for the inference
Early August 2026 Q2 2026 results. No date has been announced in any filing as of 2026-07-29. Historical Q2 reporting dates: 2024-08-08 and 2025-07-31 INFERRED from prior-year filing dates only
Early November 2026 Q3 2026 results INFERRED — prior analogues 2024-11-07, 2025-11-06
Late February 2027 FY2026 results and first FY2027 guidance INFERRED — prior analogues 2025-02-20, 2026-02-26
Late April 2027 DEF 14A INFERRED — prior analogues 2025-04-25, 2026-04-24
Early June 2027 Annual meeting INFERRED — prior analogues 2025-06-05, 2026-06-04

Undated — real events with no disclosed timing. Do not model.

Event What is disclosed What is not
Evaluation and Observability Platform general availability Launched in beta Q1 2026; first engagement $1m with a hyperscaler; 15 companies actively evaluating No GA date, no revenue guide, no named customer. Zero revenue modelled
Hyperscaler channel partnerships "In discussions with two leading hyperscalers about potential channel partnerships" No date, no counterparty, no terms. Discussions only
Federal / sovereign AI practice A Federal Practice is described in the FY2025 10-K No contract, no award, no dollar of revenue disclosed. Mention-frequency shows federal and sovereign spiking in the 2025Q3 release and returning to zero. Recorded as a decayed initiative, not a catalyst
"Several potentially large programs not yet included in our forecast" Management statement, 2026-05-07 Unnamed, undated, unquantified. Not modelled
M&A $117.4m cash, 10-Q lists "possible business acquisitions" as a stated use; new CFO arrives from an M&A role No target, no process, no date

Option expiries bracketing the catalysts

Expiry Catalysts captured Total call OI Usable?
2026-11-20 Q2 2026 + Q3 2026 results 3,079 Thin
2027-01-15 Q2 + Q3 2026 results 7,263 The only usable expiry
2027-02-19 Q2 + Q3 2026 + FY2026 results and FY2027 guidance 240 Uninvestable — this is the expiry that would best bracket the FY2027 guide, and it cannot be traded

Catalyst Criteria assessment

Scored, blocks nothing. Time works for a long, so a dated event is not required to own a compounder.

The calendar is adequate but not strong: the highest-value catalyst (Q2 2026 results, which tests both the ≥40% guide and the concentration trajectory) has no announced date, and the single best structural catalyst — FY2027 guidance in late February 2027 — falls in an option expiry with 240 contracts of open interest across the entire chain.

The one genuinely high-quality catalyst is the concentration disclosure itself. Each 10-Q states the top customer's percentage of revenue. Management has committed publicly to that number falling in FY2026. It is a single, unambiguous, filed number that either confirms or refutes the load-bearing claim in the thesis, four times a year, at no cost.